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Trump takes power: What’s next for the markets?

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The swing states were crucial in helping Trump secure the presidency, with key wins in North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Trump has been voted the new US president, bringing not just political but financial shifts. Discover how his policies may influence markets, along with valuable insights and strategies to manage the volatility they may create.

The swing states were crucial in helping Trump secure the presidency, with key wins in North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

With Trump being voted in as U.S. president, what will traders focus on?

With a new president come new economic policies that have implications for financial markets worldwide. Traders often consider this period as one of volatility and opportunity.

  • Forex
  • Commodities

Stock indices

Stock market indices are a quick way to trade around the U.S. presidential election, and this time was no different. The S&P 500 shot higher the day following the election as uncertainty diminished, with expectations that Trump will introduce pro-growth strategies. In the current situation, where the president is Republican and Republicans also control the House and the Senate, typical annual growth has been 12.9% per year. Notably, from 1950 to November 2023, election-year returns have ranged between -40% and +30%, with the return on 6 November already at 23% year-to-date, indicating a rather limited upside.


Impact of Trump's Victory on U.S. Stock Market and Economic PolicyImpact of Trump's Victory on U.S. Stock Market and Economic Policy
Private prisons and illegal immigrationPrivate prisons and illegal immigration
AutoAuto
Renewable energyRenewable energy
Domestic gas and oil productionDomestic gas and oil production
HousingHousing

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How will Trump as the new president affect the markets?

While it’s impossible to predict exactly how markets will respond to Trump’s term, we can analyse past data to identify patterns.

 

Check out how markets reacted following previous US elections with our exclusive backtesting tool, Traders’ Gym. Simply log in to ThinkTrader Web to access real historical data on the movements of up to 4,000 instruments.

 

While past performance does not guarantee future returns, it can be considered as a reliable indicator of how the markets could potentially react.