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頭肩頂使用教學:如何利用頭肩頂型態預測價格走勢?

頭肩頂使用教學:如何利用頭肩頂型態預測價格走勢?

<h2>1. 什麽是頭肩頂?</h2> <p><strong>頭肩頂</strong>是一種常見的頂部型態,出現在上漲趨勢的末端,它與底部型態中的<a href="/tw/trading-academy/chart-patterns/head-and-shoulders-bottom">頭肩底</a>相對應。</p> &nbsp; <img alt="頭肩頂型態" src="/getmedia/75ad7a60-5941-4321-810d-d333b2c987fa/head-and-shoulders-pattern.png" title="頭肩頂型態" width="100%" /> <p>與頭肩底一樣,<strong>頭肩頂型態</strong>的形成也分為四個步驟:</p> &nbsp; <p><strong>第一步:</strong>市場在經歷了長時間的上漲後,出現了一波回調,但此時上漲趨勢仍然占據主導,在有限的回調後便又重新開始上漲,形成了第一個波峰(左肩)。</p> &nbsp; <p><strong>第二步:</strong>第一次回調失敗後市場繼續上漲並向上突破左肩高點,隨後上漲動能減弱並出現第二次回調,形成了第二個波峰(頭部)。</p> &nbsp; <p><strong>第三步:</strong>第二次回調到左肩的低點時再次受到支撐並重新上漲,當價格上漲到左肩的高點附近時受阻,隨後出現第三次回調,從而形成了第三個波谷(右肩)。</p> &nbsp; <p><strong>第四步:</strong>第三次回調時價格再次下跌來到第一次回調和第二次回調的低點連接而成的支撐線(頸線),並一舉向下突破此支撐線創出新的市場低點。</p> <h2>2. 頭肩頂的構成</h2> <p>頭肩底型態由四個部分構成:<br /> &nbsp;</p> <ul> <li>左肩</li> <li>頭部</li> <li>右肩</li> <li>頸線</li> </ul> &nbsp; <p>左肩、頭部和右肩分別代表型態中的三個高點,而頸線則是由左肩和頭部的低點連接而成的一條直線。</p> <h2>3. 如何查看頭肩頂?</h2> <p>免費<a href="https://portal.thinkmarkets.com/account/individual/demo" target="_blank">註冊智匯模擬賬戶</a>並下載平臺和圖表軟體,免費查看和分析包括美股、<a href="/tw/forex-trading/">外匯交易</a>、貴金屬、大宗商品和數字貨幣在內的逾4000種環球金融資產的頭肩頂型態。</p> <h2>4. 頭肩頂應用</h2> <p>頭肩頂的出現預示著市場可能已築頂,顯然它最重要的應用是為交易者指出明確的賣出信號。</p> &nbsp; <p>下圖黃色方框標記出的是歐元/澳元在日線圖上2014年1月時形成的一個頭肩頂型態,它囊括了典型頭肩頂型態的所有要素,我們將用這個案例來逐步講解頭肩頂的應用。</p> &nbsp; <p>首先是頸線所在的位置1.5030的價格,它除了是頭肩頂的頸線外,還是前期高點在被向上突破後轉化而成的支撐線。頸線與前高支撐線重合,更突顯了這條線的重要性,在價格向下突破後,我們則更有信心賣出。</p> &nbsp; <p>向下突破頸線是第一個賣出機會,在這個案例中還出現了頸線回抽的現象,隨後價格沒有向上突破頸線轉化成的阻力線,這進一步確認了頸線的有效性,這是第二個賣出的好時機。</p> <img alt="頭肩頂賣出信號" src="/getmedia/ae6446af-6c38-4113-9155-b1d70d7b3f1c/sell-signal-for-head-and-shoulders-pattern.png" title="頭肩頂賣出信號" width="100%" /> <h2>5. 頭肩頂計算</h2> <p>即如何計算頭肩頂的目標止贏價格,頭肩頂型態確立後,後市下跌的空間至少是整個頭肩頂型態的價格距離。<br /> <br /> 以上一章節的圖表案例為例子,圖中頭肩頂型態的價格頂點為1.5830,頸線價格為1.5030,因此這個型態的價格距離是800點,那我們的止贏目標設置為1.4230。</p> &nbsp; <h2>6. 失敗頭肩頂型態</h2> <p>頭肩頂型態出現後,並不意味著市場最終會按型態理論發展,頭肩頂失敗亦是很常見的情況。</p> &nbsp; <p>下方的圖例中,如果只看黃色方框部分,整個型態看起來幾乎是完美的頭肩頂型態,只差頸線回抽確認這一步。在跌落頸線後市場的確有重新回測頸線,但價格並未在頸線處受阻,而是向上重新回到勁線上方,隨後還創出新高。</p> &nbsp; <p>頭肩頂型態只是提供給我們一個潛在的交易機會,交易者仍需要嚴格做好風險控製。仍是下圖的例子,在價格向下突破紅色的潛在頸線後,如果我們將止損設置在頸線上方一點,那最終被止損後的損失很有限;如果沒有設置止損,後市的虧損空間則會非常巨大。</p> <img alt="失敗頭肩頂型態" src="/getmedia/596febb9-41a3-48fb-8562-af9d64c608bb/unsuccessful-head-and-shoulders-pattern.png" title="失敗頭肩頂型態" width="100%" /><br /> <br /> &nbsp;

6 min read初學者
10種圖表形態,一篇學會使用延續圖表形態與反轉圖表形態!

10種圖表形態,一篇學會使用延續圖表形態與反轉圖表形態!

<p>讀懂圖表型態是每個交易員應該要有的基礎技能。有經驗的交易者能在眾多的圖表型態中一眼辨別出到底哪些是反轉圖表形態,哪些是延續圖表形態。而本篇文章將會詳細介紹10種比較常見的圖表形態並幫助大家初步辨別哪些狀況下,哪些圖表的形態更具交易價值。</p> <h2>圖表形態是什麼?</h2> <p>圖表形態所代表的是根據歷史價格走勢所形成的特定形態來推斷接下來價格大概率會運行的趨勢。這是前人通過不斷收集與分析過去價格趨勢的結構,歸納出的經驗,以推測未來可能的走勢。而因為這些圖表形態的實用性,即便在現在技術指標滿大街的時代,其仍然被廣泛應用。</p> <p>大家只需要記得,圖表形態就是整理了過去可能發生反轉或延續的結構,作為一種參考並把它應用在現在的價格圖表上的一種方式,是幫助我們識別市場價格波動的一種工具。一般圖表形態被分為三大類:<br /> &nbsp;</p> <ol> <li>反轉形態</li> <li> <p>延續形態</p> </li> <li> <p>雙邊形態</p> </li> </ol> <p><br /> 顧名思義,這三大形態種類分別代表了趨勢反轉會出現的形態,趨勢即將延續的形態,以及最後聽起來模稜兩可,但出現時還需多加注意的雙邊形態。</p> <p>在還沒開始介紹各種圖表形態前,需注意沒有任何策略能夠保證百分百勝率,我們需要了解哪些狀況下特定圖表形態的成功率較大,才能夠提升交易勝算。</p> <h2><strong>反轉形態</strong></h2> <p>當反轉型態出現時,代表前段趨勢可能已經結束,接下來價格可能會觸頂回調或者見底反彈。以下是6種比較普遍的反轉形態。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <ol> <li> <p><strong>頂部反轉形態</strong>:頭肩頂形態,雙頂形態,倒杯柄形態</p> </li> <li> <p><strong>底部反轉形態</strong>:頭肩底形態,雙底形態,杯柄形態</p> </li> </ol> <p><br /> 接下來我們將逐個了解這6種形態。</p> <h3>頭肩頂形態</h3> <p><a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/trading-academy/chart-patterns/head-and-shoulders-top/" target="_blank">頭肩頂</a>是一種經常在上升趨勢頂部出現<strong>反轉信號</strong>的技術形態,預示著上升趨勢即將結束,很可能會迎來下跌趨勢。</p> <img alt="頭肩頂" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/head-and-shoulders.png" title="頭肩頂" width="100%" /> <p>頭肩頂的組成由一個高峰(頭部)與兩個小波峰(肩)在高峰的左右所形成。其背後的邏輯為價格在創造了一個新的高點(頭部)後失去買家力量,無法再形成更高的高點,從而發生趨勢反轉。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>當我們發現價格形成了頭部後未能形成更高的高點,而在回落接近頸線時價格反彈,就應該是時候注意是否可能形成頭肩頂形態了。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>在下圖<a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/copper/" target="_blank">白銀</a>4小時級別的圖表中可以看到,價格在上升趨勢的頂部形成了一個頭肩頂的形態,在形態被突破後就變成了下跌趨勢。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>辨別頭肩頂最好的方式就是等待其中的頸線(NeckLine)被突破。若是頸線沒有被突破則價格可能會把頸線當作是一個支撐線,而繼續承壓向上。</p> <img alt="白銀4小時头肩顶形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/silver-4-hour-head-and-shoulders-pattern.png" title="白銀4小時头肩顶形態" width="100%" /> <p><br /> 當價格往下突破頸線後,我們可以選擇立即做空,也可以待價格回彈觸碰到頸線後再做空。而在選擇做空後,可以將止盈位設置在下個支撐位。</p> <h3>雙頂形態</h3> <img alt="雙頂形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/double-top-pattern.png" title="雙頂形態" width="100%" /> <p>雙頂,也通常被稱作為<a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/trading-academy/chart-patterns/double-top-reversal-pattern/" target="_blank">M頂</a>,原因是其形成後的形態類似於一個M字,同樣也是一種頂部反轉信號。雙頂通常會出現在上升趨勢的末端。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>雙頂形態的邏輯是,當價格在上升趨勢中無法突破前高,而在第二次測試相同阻力位後回落並跌破頸線,代表賣方動能減弱,導致市場有潛在轉向空頭的趨勢,預示著價格將會翻轉向下。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>以下是<a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/eur-usd/" target="_blank">歐元對美元</a>2小時的圖表:</p> <img alt="歐元對美元2小時雙頂形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/eur-usd-2-hour-double-top-pattern.png" title="歐元對美元2小時雙頂形態" width="100%" /> <p><br /> 例子中,展示了當價格形成了雙頂後,交易者可以在雙頂的位置畫出壓力線,且在其中的近期低點中畫出頸線。可以看到當頸線被突破後,價格開始向下運行,並且頸線將成為很好的壓力位,價格在每次碰到該壓力線也會再次回調。</p> <h3>倒杯柄形態</h3> <img alt="倒杯柄" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/upside-down-cup-pattern.png" title="倒杯柄" width="100%" /> <p>倒杯柄就是牛市(上升趨勢)的反轉形態,是由一個半圓的頂部接著一個旗形所形成的頂部反轉形態。圓頂的出現代表了市場進入了短暫的平靜期,買賣交易者都沒有方向,市場陷入盤整的狀況,或者用道氏理論的角度解釋,便是處於分配階段。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>而在圓頂後,接著價格的波動再次收縮,形成了一個小型的旗形。但由於大部分的人都覺得該產品的方向不明,沒什麼人願意跟風買進。而當價格往下突破旗形,則會被視作是一種趨勢變弱信號,從而觸發交易者拋售或做空,形成價格反轉回調的現象。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>從下列<a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/aud-usd/" target="_blank">澳元對美元</a>1小時圖表的例子當中可以看到,市場在趨勢上升中開始放緩,市場不再創新高且開始盤整,而後又開始下跌,驗證了圓頂形態的出現。而之後的旗形盤整也真實了市場正在整理籌碼,突破旗形後市場正式進入下跌階段。</p> <img alt="澳元對美元1小時倒杯柄形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/aud-usd-1-hour-inverted-cup-and-handle-pattern.png" title="澳元對美元1小時倒杯柄形態" width="100%" /> <p><br /> 從杯柄和倒杯柄的例子中可以看到,這兩個圖表形態都是需要很長時間來形成的。因此,這個反轉形態所確認的趨勢也偏長期,一旦確認形成後大概率會造成一波大趨勢的反轉。</p> <h3>頭肩底形態</h3> <img alt="頭肩底" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/head-and-shoulders-02.png" title="頭肩底" width="100%" /> <p><a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/trading-academy/chart-patterns/head-and-shoulders-bottom/" target="_blank">頭肩底</a>與頭肩頂的形態以及邏輯是相同的,也是由一個高峰以及兩個小波峰所形成的。差別在於頭肩底是在下跌趨勢的底部出現,預示著賣家力量被買家力量取代,下跌趨勢即將結束,<strong>趨勢反轉</strong>的可能性增加,是一種<strong>反轉信號。</strong><br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>在下列美元對日元1小時的例子中,可以看到價格在下跌趨勢的末端形成了頭肩底形態,在形態頸線被突破後就變成了上升趨勢。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>在這個例子中可以看到,頸線不一定只能是水平直線的;這個例子中的頸線是傾斜向上的,而在頸線被突破後同樣的趨勢反轉繼續上行。</p> <img alt="歐元對美元2小時頭肩底形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/eur-usd-2-hour-head-and-shoulders-bottom-pattern.png" title="歐元對美元2小時頭肩底形態" width="100%" /> <h3>雙底形態</h3> <img alt="雙底形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/double-bottom-pattern.png" title="雙底形態" width="100%" /> <p>雙頂,也被稱為<a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/trading-academy/chart-patterns/double-bottom-pattern/" target="_blank">W底</a>,原因是因為其形成後的形態會類似於一個W,是一個出現在下跌趨勢末端的反彈趨勢。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>雙底邏輯是當下跌趨勢中的價格不再繼續創新低而開始突破頸線創造一個新高點時,意味著賣家不再強勁,買家可能會接管市場。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>從下列中的歐元對美元4小時圖表中,可以看到價格形成了雙底。但在這個例子中,價格在雙底中出現了假突破後才向上運行。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>所以若是激進交易者想在支撐置進場,需要等到有k線確認後才進場。而比較保守的方法則是待雙底頸線被往上突破後才入場。價格若是在雙頂或雙底沒有成功反轉,也是有可能會出現三重頂或三重底的。</p> <img alt="歐元對美元4小時雙底形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/eur-usd-4-hour-double-bottom-pattern.png" title="歐元對美元4小時雙底形態" width="100%" /> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h3>杯柄形態</h3> <img alt="杯柄形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/cuo-and-handle.png" title="杯柄形態" width="100%" /> <p>杯柄形態也是底部反轉形態中的一種,它的形成是像一個杯子和杯子的手柄,因此被稱為杯柄形態。杯柄形態是由一個半圓的底部與一個旗形所形成的。半圓的底部可以理解為價格正處於橫盤趨勢,整理買賣籌碼。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>而旗形則是上升確定後的一次調整,突破旗形後可以理解為形態已被完成,交易者通常可以選擇在旗形突破後選擇入場。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>從下列的澳元對美元4小時圖表對中可以看到,澳元在一段下跌趨勢結束後開始橫盤並形成了一個圓形的底部,價格從最低點開始形成越來越高的高點。而後價格又形成了一個下跌楔形。當價格突破楔形後便轉為上升趨勢。</p> <img alt="澳元對美元4小時杯柄形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/aud-usd-4-hour-cup-and-handle-pattern.png" title="澳元對美元4小時杯柄形態" width="100%" /> <p><br /> 以上所說的六種形態均為反轉形態。在還未進入到延續形態前,我們想為大家介紹ThinkMarkets經濟商。在ThinkMarkets,我們為您提供了一個和好的模擬練習平台 - ThinkTrader Demo 供大家免費學習以及應用這些知識。通過這個免費的模擬交易平台,大家可以不斷以模擬帳號的形式練習上述所提到的各種圖表形態。</p> &nbsp;<a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/trading-academy/thinktrader/platform-introduction/"><img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Market%20news%20images/tt-chart-patterns-img.png" style="border-bottom:none!important;" /></a> <h3><strong>延續形態</strong></h3> <p>當延續型態出現時,代表前段趨勢可能會繼續,接下來價格在調整一段時間後繼續發力,價格往同一個方向前進的概率比較大。以下是4種比較普遍的延續形態。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <ol> <li> <p>楔形</p> </li> <li> <p>旗形</p> </li> <li> <p>上升三角形</p> </li> <li> <p>下跌三角形</p> </li> </ol> <p><br /> 接下來我們將逐個了解這4種形態。</p> <h3>楔形</h3> <img alt="楔形" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/wedges.png" title="楔形" width="100%" /> <p><a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/trading-academy/chart-patterns/wedge-pattern/" target="_blank">楔形</a>被分為上升楔形和下降楔形兩種不同的結構形態,其中的差別其實就是一個是向上延伸而一個是向下延伸。楔形中會有上下兩條同樣方向且不斷收窄的斜線。這種形態是一個趨勢延續的形態,經常在市場中可以看到。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>不論是遇到上升或者下降楔形,都應該注意前段趨勢的方向,如果前面的趨勢是一個當時趨勢,而後出現了上升或者下跌楔形,在突破楔形後繼續前段的趨勢的概率都是比較大的。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>從下列的歐元對美元1小時的例子中,我們可以觀察到價格形成了一個上升楔形。而楔形作為一個趨勢延伸的形態,可以看到價格的突破方向是跟著當前趨勢的,價格調整完成後便突破繼續往下延伸。</p> <img alt="歐元對美元1小時上升楔形形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/eur-usd-1-hour-rising-wedge-pattern.png" title="歐元對美元1小時上升楔形形態" width="100%" /> <p><br /> 在下列的<a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/usd-jpy/" target="_blank">美元對日元</a>1小時圖表中,價格形成了一個下降楔形。而當前趨勢正處於上升趨勢中,當價格突破了楔形後便繼續延續趨勢向上。</p> <img alt="美元對日元1小時下降楔形形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/usd-jpy-1-hour-falling-wedge-pattern.png" title="美元對日元1小時下降楔形形態" width="100%" /> <p><br /> 雖然楔形大多數都是延續趨勢的形態,但主要還是需要觀察楔形的突破方向,若是突破方向與當前趨勢不符,需要確定是否為假突破或是趨勢反轉。</p> <h3>旗形</h3> <img alt="旗形" src="/getmedia/7b4b746c-c6cc-4f11-a43e-7fd152726f79/flag-shape.png" title="旗形" width="100%" /> <p><a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/trading-academy/chart-patterns/flag-pattern/" target="_blank">旗形</a>,是一種形態類似於旗子的圖表形態,同樣可被分為上升旗形與下降旗形。旗形是一種趨勢延伸的圖表形態。旗形與楔形的不同處在於,旗形是由兩條斜度一樣的趨勢線所組成,而楔形不是。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>在下列歐元對美元30分鐘的圖表中可以看到,該價格形成了下降旗形。旗形的主要目的是讓價格在一段趨勢中可以進行調整,從而在繼續上行。</p> <img alt="歐元對美元30分鐘旗形形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/eur-usd-30-minute-flag-pattern.png" title="歐元對美元30分鐘旗形形態" width="100%" /> <h3>上升三角形</h3> <img alt="上升三角形" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/ascending-triangle.png" title="上升三角形" width="100%" /> <p><a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/trading-academy/chart-patterns/symmetrical-triangle-pattern/" target="_blank">上升三角形</a>是由一個不斷上升的低點與一條壓力線所組成的。其背後的含義為,雖然價格看似一致被壓力線所壓制,但是價格的下跌壓力正在減弱,遲早壓力線都會被突破。上升三角形是一個趨勢延續的形態,通常會跟著趨勢延伸。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>從下列中美元對日元4小時的圖表中可以看到,價格在下跌趨勢中反轉了,而後上漲了一段空間。在上漲空間中,可以看到價格也同樣形成了一個上升三角形,意味著價格正在調整,準備繼續上行。</p> <img alt="美元對日元4小時上升三角形形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/usd-jpy-4-hour-ascending-triangle-pattern.png" title="美元對日元4小時上升三角形形態" width="100%" /> <h3>下降三角形</h3> <img alt="下降三角形" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/decrease.png" title="下降三角形" width="100%" /> <p>下降三角形的原理與上升三角形類似,都是趨勢延伸的形態。其中差別在於下降三角形會形成更低的高點且有一個支撐線支撐價格走勢。當支撐線被破則可以確定價格在調整後繼續下跌趨勢,通常都會出現在熊市中。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>從下列<a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/tw/usd-cad/" target="_blank">美元對加圓</a>4小時圖表中可以看到,價格在翻轉後形成了一個下降三角形。三角形被突破後則確定了趨勢的延伸,交易者通常都需要等到三角形被破了才能確認入場,以免被虛假的下降三角形形態給誤導。</p> <img alt="美元對加圓4小時下降三角形形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/usd-cad-4-hour-descending-triangle-pattern.png" title="美元對加圓4小時下降三角形形態" width="100%" /> <h2>雙邊形態</h2> <p>雙邊形態內較為普遍的僅有對稱三角形:</p> <h3>對稱三角形</h3> <img alt="對稱三角形" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/symmetrical-triangle.png" title="對稱三角形" width="100%" /> <p>對稱三角形,也稱為三角旗形,這種類型比較特別,是圖表形態中的雙邊形態,意味著對稱三角形形成後,需要根據市場當前趨勢來判斷其突破方向,因為對稱三角形可以向上突破也可以向下突破。它的形成是由一條向下的趨勢線以及一條向上的趨勢線所組成。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>交易者可能會覺得,如果無法知道形態形成後的方向的話,那知道這個形態還有意義嗎?有的&middot;,當對稱三角形形成後,大概率會根據當前趨勢做突破,但是也有可能會出現反轉現象,最好還是等待其突破後才決定入場。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>根據下圖英鎊對美元2小時圖表中,可以看到價格形成了一個對稱三角形的形態。在形態形成後,交易者通常應該預判價格會根據當前趨勢突破,但是對稱三角形是雙邊形態,所以這個例子中價格在下降趨勢中反轉了突破向上。</p> <img alt="英鎊對美元2小時對稱三角形形態" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/TW_culture_images/Article%20Image%20Knowledge%20Hub%20TW/gbp-usd-2-hour-symmetrical-triangle-pattern.png" title="英鎊對美元2小時對稱三角形形態" width="100%" /> <h2>總結</h2> <p>圖表形態是技術交易中的一種,也算是最基本的技術分析之一。它可以幫助交易者很好的辨別趨勢的強度,反轉的可能,也能夠用作於突破的入場信號。因此,交易者應該學會如何辨別形態以及辨別形態的後續走勢,以提高交易中的勝率。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <p>想要在在熟練運用這項技術,還得通過日以夜繼地不斷練習。只要通過5分鐘註冊並獲得ThinkMarkets所推出的ThinkTrader 模擬帳號,我們便能免費使用內置的各種畫圖工具以及技術指標。如果大家有興趣,可以通過下方的註冊獲取按鈕獲得該模擬帳號並開始練習。<br /> &nbsp;</p> <div class="lr-v3-container"> <style type="text/css">.lr-v3-container { display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center; height: 100px; width: 100%; background-color: #F2F6F6; box-sizing: border-box; padding: 40px 40px 40px 40px; border-radius: 15px; position: relative; } .lr-v3-container * { margin: 0; padding: 0; } .lr-v3-container .lr-v3-text-container { display: flex; flex-direction: column; justify-content: center; gap: 10px; position: relative; z-index: 1; } .lr-v3-container .lr-v3-text-container p { 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17 min read初學者